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Can Giants Backers Trust Cueto vs the Cubs?

Starting pitcher Johnny Cueto #47 of the San Francisco Giants walks to the dugout after the top of the first inning against the St Louis Cardinals at AT&T Park on July 5, 2018 in San Francisco, California.

The Chicago Cubs haven’t played their best baseball of late, but the Cubbies still have an opportunity to collect their fourth consecutive series win when they meet the San Francisco Giants for the rubber match of a three-game set at AT&T Park. The Cubs produced only four hits in their series-opening 2-1 setback and managed only six in the middle contest but came away with a 2-0 triumph regardless. Sportsbooks opened the Giants as +110 home underdogs with a total of 8.5.

  • The total has gone UNDER in five of the Cubs’ last six games against the Giants (avg combined score: 6.17).
  • The Giants are 10-2 SU in their last 12 games when closing out a series.
  • The total has gone UNDER in five of the Cubs’ last seven games (avg combined score: 7.29).

Cueto looking rusty after stint on the disabled list

Johnny Cueto and Mike Montgomery will get the start for the Giants and Cubs, respectively. Making his first start since April 28, Cueto (3-1, 1.95 ERA) suffered the loss against St. Louis last Thursday by surrendering five runs and 10 hits in five innings. The 32-year-old missed over two months with elbow inflammation but allowed three runs over 32 frames in his first five appearances of the campaign. Cueto has made 25 career starts vs the Cubs and is 9-9 with one complete game and a 3.35 ERA in that span.

Montgomery (3-3, 3.68) is coming off a loss last Friday to Cincinnati in which he coughed up three runs and six hits in five innings of work. Montgomery hasn’t pitched past the six-inning mark all season and has allowed 10 earned runs in his past three starts with a 5.63 ERA in that stretch. The hurler is 1-2 with a solid 2.09 ERA away from home in 2018 and is 0-1 with a 3.78 ERA in two starts and two relief appearances vs San Francisco in his career.

UNDER cashing when Cubs, Giants get together

When the Cubbies and Giants renew acquaintances, low-scoring affairs tend to follow. The UNDER has paid out in five of the past six meetings between the NL clubs, with an average combined score of 6.2 runs. Chicago’s inability to score has led to a litany of UNDERs of late, as the UNDER is 5-2 in the Cubs’ past seven tilts with an average combined score of 7.3. The O/U number for tonight’s game is relatively low, but expect the UNDER to receive plenty of action at sportsbooks.

Giants have done an excellent job of finishing series

When it comes to closing out a series, San Fran has been a fantastic straight-up wager recently. In the Giants’ previous 12 in the last game of a series, they’re 10-2 SU. San Francisco topped St. Louis 13-8 in the series finale on July 8 while cashing as -128 faves. Betting them as home dogs tonight may be a good wager for that reason alone.